[1]荆旭.走滑型断层地表永久位移预测模型研究[J].世界地震工程,2019,35(02):018-23.
 JING Xu.Study on prediction model of surface permanent displacementof strike-slip faults[J].,2019,35(02):018-23.
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走滑型断层地表永久位移预测模型研究
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《世界地震工程》[ISSN:/CN:]

卷:
35
期数:
2019年02期
页码:
018-23
栏目:
出版日期:
2019-06-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on prediction model of surface permanent displacementof strike-slip faults
作者:
荆旭
生态环境部核与辐射安全中心, 北京 100082
Author(s):
JING Xu
Nuclear and Radiation Safety Center, MEE, Beijing 100082, China
关键词:
核设施地震安全地震危险性分析断层地表位移预测模型
Keywords:
seismic safety of nuclear facilityseismic hazard analysisfault surface displace prediction model
分类号:
P315.9
摘要:
论述了断层地表永久位移概率地震危险性分析方法的发展过程和应用现状,指出了断层地表破裂预测模型研究的意义。根据我国最近的活动断层地表破裂震后调查结果,基于走滑型断层地表破裂数据,拟合了地表破裂预测模型。采用地震活动性模型和地表破裂预测模型,计算了则木河断裂地表迹线上的永久位移危险性曲线,对预测模型在工程场地地震危险性分析中的应用,提出了建议。
Abstract:
The development and state-of-art for the probabilistic fault displacement hazard assessments method were reviewed, and pointed out the significance for prediction model of fault surface rupture displacements.Based on fault displacement data from survey after large earthquakes in China during current years, the fault displacement prediction models were developed.Based on the seismic activity model and above prediction models, the hazard curves of surface permanent displacement on Zemu River fault were calculated, and the application of the prediction models in seismic hazard analysis of engineering site was suggested.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2017-12-10;改回日期:2018-8-6。
基金项目:国家重点研发计划(项目编号:2017YFC1500804)
作者简介:荆旭(1983-),男,博士,高工,主要从事核工程地震危险性研究.E-mail:jingxu@chinansc.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01